hard · LSAT Logical Reasoning

Oren: A decade of peace followed the treaty, and we can be certain the treaty was its cause. Petra: A decade of peace did follow, and the treaty may well have contributed to it. But we cannot be certain the treaty was the cause, since several other developments in the same period could equally account for the calm.

Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens Oren's claim that the treaty caused the ensuing peace?

  1. The treaty was negotiated by diplomats from both formerly hostile states.
  2. Several citizens opposed the treaty when it was signed.
  3. The other developments Petra cites also occurred in comparable neighboring states that did not sign the treaty and remained at war.
  4. A decade is longer than the period of conflict immediately preceding the treaty.
  5. Several central provisions of the treaty were difficult to monitor and enforce throughout the ensuing decade, and some violations went formally unpunished.

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