hard · LSAT Logical Reasoning

Whenever the marketing department launches a new campaign, quarterly sales rise within two months. This quarter, sales rose within two months of the department's activity. It follows that the marketing department must have launched a new campaign, and that the rise in sales proves the campaign was well designed.

Which one of the following most accurately describes two flaws in the argument?

  1. It affirms the consequent of a conditional, and it treats one possible consequence of a cause as proof of that cause's quality.
  2. It relies on a sample of a single quarter, and it draws a causal claim from a correlation observed only one time before.
  3. It equivocates on what counts as a 'new' campaign, and it assumes marketing is the sole department affecting quarterly sales.
  4. It denies the antecedent of a conditional, and it presumes that sales figures reported by the department are inherently unreliable.
  5. It overlooks seasonal sales patterns entirely, and it assumes that quality campaigns always produce immediate revenue gains.

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