hard · Project Management Professional predictive

At Cinderwell Water, a sewage treatment upgrade faces an odor complaint risk (p=0.50, I=$10,000). Option A (Filters) costs $3,000 and reduces p to 0.10. Option B (Publicity campaign) costs $1,000 and reduces impact to $2,000.

Which is the superior response?

  1. Wait for the complaints to arrive before spending any money.
  2. Option A.
  3. The options are equal in value.
  4. Option B.

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